Ongoing Military Tension between Taiwan and China
Taiwan, High Probability of Invasion by 2027
Most Suitable Period
The tense relationship between Taiwan and China has now been continuing for years. Predictions on whether China will go further in this tension and invade Taiwan are utterly different among all experts. However, one thing is clear: Taiwan must carefully and accurately make these speculations because they relate to the country’s survival.
Recently, Taiwan’s foreign minister cautiously speculated about the period when the possibility of China’s actual invasion was the highest. When and why is this period when China is sufficiently suitable to announce the situation of Taiwan’s invasion? Let’s briefly talk about this today.
Increasing Possibility of War Outbreak
2027 Most Likely
The Taiwan Strait, located between China and Taiwan, is likely to be the most war-prone area on Earth. The current conflict between the two countries in the vicinity of the Taiwan Strait is so fierce that it can be described as a new Cold War, and it has become an area that matches the epithet of the world’s powder keg as the United States intervenes. Not long ago, there was an incident where a Chinese fighter made a threatening maneuver at a distance of 20 feet from an American reconnaissance plane.
Taiwan’s Foreign Minister Wu Zhaoxie set the most likely time for China to invade Taiwan as 2027. This period is when Xi Jinping, the president of China, enters his fourth term, so there is a possibility that Taiwan’s invasion will be adopted as a choice to create achievements to show externally. However, there are more substantial reasons than this.
Severe Problems in China Domestically and Internationally
Actual Invasion Possibility Still Uncertain
China is currently facing numerous problems domestically and internationally. With severe human rights oppressions, such as Tibet and Falun Gong, added to the coronavirus lockdown, economic crisis, and real estate collapse, the situation has worsened to the point where it is difficult to block the complaints that are bursting out domestically. Therefore, considering that extreme choices are likely to be made in such extreme situations, the possibility of war breaking out increases when the aforementioned reasons are added.
Of course, this is just a speculation. Even the parties involved, China and Taiwan, may not know whether war will actually occur. However, Foreign Minister Wu Zhaoxie stated in an interview that it is a fact that the possibility of the worst scenario unfolding has increased more than before, as there are often cases where minor accidents accumulate and lead to a big war.
Don’t Forget the Case of Ukraine
Just before the outbreak of the Ukraine war, everyone was skeptical about the outbreak of war. The reason was that Russia wouldn’t take such an extreme action, but the result was that the war did occur, and it shook the whole of Europe. Therefore, we can only hope that war will not break out, but we must always consider the possibility of war and be fully prepared for it, which will be the most effective attitude.
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